Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.001989 0.002178 0.002368 0.002571 0.002782 0.002994 0.003224
2025-02-02 0.001726 0.002026 0.002336 0.002678 0.003042 0.003417 0.003831
2025-02-09 0.001548 0.001948 0.002372 0.002851 0.003373 0.003920 0.004534
2025-02-16 0.001372 0.001854 0.002382 0.002993 0.003671 0.004394 0.005215
2025-02-23 0.001092 0.001620 0.002219 0.002931 0.003740 0.004616 0.005625
2025-03-02 0.000868 0.001426 0.002086 0.002891 0.003824 0.004850 0.006047
2025-03-09 0.000694 0.001274 0.001988 0.002882 0.003937 0.005112 0.006498
2025-03-16 0.000557 0.001151 0.001913 0.002892 0.004066 0.005390 0.006965
2025-03-23 0.000472 0.001087 0.001905 0.002978 0.004281 0.005764 0.007539
2025-03-30 0.000381 0.001001 0.001861 0.003014 0.004433 0.006063 0.008028
2025-04-06 0.000301 0.000920 0.001816 0.003043 0.004573 0.006346 0.008495
2025-04-13 0.000235 0.000848 0.001777 0.003074 0.004713 0.006626 0.008959
2025-04-20 0.000170 0.000769 0.001729 0.003105 0.004867 0.006941 0.009485
2025-04-27 0.000115 0.000693 0.001682 0.003136 0.005022 0.007261 0.010023
2025-05-04 0.000086 0.000664 0.001705 0.003259 0.005295 0.007726 0.010736
2025-05-11 0.000059 0.000629 0.001714 0.003365 0.005547 0.008167 0.011423
2025-05-18 0.000019 0.000513 0.001580 0.003267 0.005538 0.008292 0.011738
2025-05-25 0.000001 0.000421 0.001475 0.003202 0.005565 0.008459 0.012101
2025-06-01 NaN 0.000353 0.001401 0.003176 0.005641 0.008682 0.012530
2025-06-08 NaN 0.000300 0.001347 0.003175 0.005746 0.008941 0.012999
2025-06-15 NaN 0.000277 0.001349 0.003257 0.005960 0.009333 0.013629
2025-06-22 NaN 0.000242 0.001319 0.003288 0.006106 0.009640 0.014156
2025-06-29 NaN 0.000209 0.001288 0.003314 0.006243 0.009934 0.014666